Is a $399K list price really better than $400K?

NEW YORK – June 19, 2017 – Why did my doughnut cost 99 cents this morning instead of a simple, even dollar? It turns out that the price has less to do with cost or value and more to do with how our brains process numbers.

Our brains are good at some things but not others. We are terrible at crunching numbers, for example.

But we excel at quickly processing our environment – for instance, if we see a long object moving on the ground, we don’t calculate its trajectory and motion. Instead, we just run – better to take the risk of embarrassment (a twig on the ground) than risk being bitten by a snake.

To do this, our brains need to take in a relatively small amount of information and make up the rest using previous experience, expectations, and predictions.

Your brain is a cheater

The brain cheats, taking shortcuts and making snap judgments instead of carefully deliberating the facts. Most of the time, this is a good thing, because shortcuts are efficient and usually get you to the same place as the long way.

All business owners should consider experimenting with prices. Thanks to brain science, we now know that even a one-cent change can make a big difference.

Consider using a number that the human brain is likely to round down to make your product appear to be a better value. As a consumer, just becoming aware of your brain’s shortcuts can make you a more careful buyer.

Numbers are an easy place for the brain to take a shortcut. We tend to be great at making estimations but horrible at rounding. When our brains see a price tag with lots of numbers, they automatically estimate, so $4.99 ends up closer to $4 than $5; $66,999 becomes $66,000 or sometimes even $60,000. Psychologists have known this for decades, and economists now begrudgingly admit it as well.

Psychological factors

Businesses have used pricing tricks for years to their advantage. They figured out by experimentation that tiny differences in pricing can make big differences in sales, and researchers studied this effect in depth in the 1990s and early 2000s.

They found that there is often a big sales difference between $2.99 and $3, but dropping a product’s price from $2.24 to $2.23 does not yield a measurable increase in sales. A penny is not always worth a penny.

Of course, there are other psychological factors at work in pricing. Relative pricing plays an important role: A product’s price compared to the products physically surrounding it can impact its sales. That is why gas stations not only charge per gallon to the nine-tenths of a cent but also price match to the competitor across the street. The human brain is especially good at making either/or comparisons and especially bad at decimals.

How shoppers can prevail

This strategy applies to shoppers as well. If you’re buying a 99-cent doughnut, think $1. A penny probably won’t break your budget, but rounding bias becomes more important for a larger purchase.

A $399,000 house is pretty much $400,000, but not in your mind: your brain’s shortcut system will try to suggest it’s closer to $300,000.

When the stakes are that high, don’t just think about it. Remember, our brains are better at thinking than “we” are and will continue to trick us!

To combat this, physically write down the price on a piece of paper, strike through it, and re-write the appropriate number by rounding up. The best defense is always a strong offense.

Copyright © 2017, USATODAY.com, USA TODAY. Jeff Stibel is vice chairman of Dun & Bradstreet, a partner of Bryant Stibel and an entrepreneur who also happens to be a brain scientist. He is the USA TODAY bestselling author of “Breakpoint” and “Wired for Thought.”

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12M consumers may get July credit-score boost

 

WASHINGTON – June 22, 2017 – The three largest credit-reporting agencies will begin cleaning up credit reports in July, which could help lift the credit scores of about 12 million consumers.

In a survey by the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), one in four people say they spot errors in their credit reports, most commonly concerning tax liens and civil judgments.

Up to half of tax lien data on a credit report is inaccurate or incomplete, says Eric J. Ellman, senior vice president for public policy and legal affairs at the Consumer Data Industry Association. Civil judgments – which means a court has ruled a person owes money – also tend to be ripe with errors or omissions on a credit report, experts say. Consumers can dispute the errors, but the process can be cumbersome.

Beginning July 1, Equifax, Experian and TransUnion will automatically exclude tax lien and civil judgment records from credit reports if they are missing a person’s name, address, Social Security number or date of birth. Claims that do contain this key information, however, will remain on credit reports.

Six percent of Americans with a credit score – or 12 million – likely will see their score go up once the new policy takes effect. About 11 million could see an increase of about 20 points.

“A lot of people who have liens or judgments against them already have crummy credit to begin with,” says Keith Gumbinger, vice president at HSH.com, a mortgage resource website. “A 10- or 20-point increase isn’t going to make a difference for a lot of borrowers.”

But borrowers who are on the cusp of qualifying for a home loan may stand to benefit the most. For example, Gumbinger says, a would-be buyer with a credit score of 570 who receives a 10-point uptick may be able to qualify for an FHA loan. FHA loans require a minimum 580 credit score.

Source: “Have a Bad Credit Score? It Could Soon Get Better – But Is It Enough to Buy a Home?” realtor.com® (June 22, 2017)

© Copyright 2017 INFORMATION INC., Bethesda, MD (301) 215-4688

U.S. consumer confidence rose a bit in June

 NEW YORK – June 27, 2017 – The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index increased moderately in June after dropping a bit in May. Overall, consumers have a rosier picture of their situation today, but they’re a bit less optimistic about the future.

The Index now stands at 118.9, up from 117.6 in May. The Present Situation Index increased from 140.6 to 146.3, while the Expectations Index that gauges attitudes about the short-term future declined from 102.3 last month to 100.6.

“Consumer confidence increased moderately in June following a small decline in May,” says Lynn Franco, Director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board.

“Consumers’ assessment of current conditions improved to a nearly 16-year high (July 2001, 151.3),” Franco adds. “Expectations for the short-term have eased somewhat but are still upbeat. Overall, consumers anticipate the economy will continue expanding in the months ahead, but they do not foresee the pace of growth accelerating.”

Present Situation Index
Consumers’ appraisal of current conditions improved in June. Those saying business conditions are “good” increased from 29.8 percent to 30.8 percent, while those saying business conditions are “bad” declined from 13.9 percent to 12.7 percent.

Consumers’ assessment of the labor market was also more positive. Those stating jobs are “plentiful” rose from 30.0 percent to 32.8 percent, while those claiming jobs are “hard to get” decreased slightly from 18.3 percent to 18.0 percent.

Expectations Index
Consumers, however, were less optimistic about the short-term outlook in June. The percentage of consumers expecting business conditions to improve over the next six months decreased from 21.5 percent to 20.4 percent, however, those expecting business conditions to worsen also declined marginally – from 10.3 percent to 9.9 percent.

Consumers’ outlook for the labor market remained mixed. The proportion expecting more jobs in the months ahead increased from 18.6 percent to 19.3 percent, but those anticipating fewer jobs increased from 12.1 percent to 14.6 percent.

The percentage of consumers expecting an improvement in their income rose from 19.1 percent to 22.2 percent, but the proportion expecting a decline increased slightly from 8.7 percent to 9.2 percent.

The monthly Consumer Confidence Survey, based on a probability-design random sample, is conducted for The Conference Board by Nielsen, a global provider of information and analytics. The cutoff date for the preliminary results was June 15.

© 2017 Florida Realtors

Related Topics: Economic indicators

Miami Home Prices, Sales Continue to Strengthen, Housing Inventory Shortage a Reality

Submitted by Lynda Fernandez on September 19, 2012 – 11:33am

 

Miami, FL – Miami home prices rose again in August, marking nine consecutive months of appreciation, according to the 25,000-member MIAMI Association of REALTORS and the local Multiple Listing Service (MLS) system.   The median sales price of Miami-Dade condominiums, which has increased each of the last 14 months, increased 28.4 percent to $146,500 compared to a year earlier.  The median sales price of single-family homes rose 10.8 percent to $195,000.  

“Despite the shortage of housing inventory, Miami home sales remain strong and continue to drive significant price appreciation,” said 2012 Chairman of the Board of the MIAMI Association of REALTORS Martha Pomares.  “There is evident demand for Miami properties, particularly from foreign buyers and investors who recognize Miami’s desirability and profitability.  Miami remains the top market for foreign buyers in the nation, and local international activity continues to grow.” 

In August the average sales price for condominiums in Miami-Dade County increased 20.9 percent to $283,497.  The average sales prices for single-family homes increased 28.4 percent to $408,810.  

Florida Statewide Home Prices
Statewide median sales prices in August increased 5.8 percent to $147,000 for single-family homes and 13.2 percent to $102,980 for condominiums, according to data from Florida Realtors Industry Data and Analysis department and vendor partner 10K Research and Marketing. The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $187,400 in August, a 9.5 percent increase from August 2011, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR).

Miami Home Sales Rise Again in August
Total residential sales in Miami-Dade County increased 7.0 percent compared to a year earlier, compared to record sales levels in August 2011.    The sales of existing condominiums in Miami-Dade increased 8.0 percent, from 1,382 to 1,492.  Sales of single-family homes increased 5.0 percent, from 1,009 to 1,059, year-over-year.   

Statewide sales of existing single-family homes totaled 18,669 in August 2012, up 10.8 percent compared to a year ago.  Statewide condominium sales totaled 8,767, up 5.7 percent from those sold in August 2011. Nationally, sales of existing single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums, and co-ops increased 7.8 percent from July and were 9.3 percent higher than they were in August 2011, according NAR.

“Miami is experiencing a mini-boom fueled mostly by demand from international buyers but also by population growth resulting from migration from other states, baby boomers, and local consumers,” said 2012 MIAMI Association of REALTORS Residential President Patricia Delinois.  “Miami’s firm position as a major global city is expected to continue to draw demand long into the future, as businesses, residents, visitors and tourists, investors, and vacation and second homebuyers take advantage of all that our vibrant and unique city has to offer.”

Shortage of Housing Inventory in Miami-Dade 
Over the last year, the inventory of residential listings in Miami-Dade County has dropped 26 percent from 15,405 to 11,431.  Compared to the previous month, the total inventory of homes decreased 0.2 percent.   Currently, there are 4.2 months of supply in Miami-Dade.  Total housing inventory nationally increased 2.9 percent at the end of August and was 18.2 percent below year-ago levels, which represents an 8.2-month supply at the current sales pace.  

Distressed Sales Decrease
Strong demand for bank-owned (REO) properties and improved processing of short sales continues to yield absorption of distressed listings and to contribute to price appreciation.  In August, 45.8 percent of all closed residential sales in Miami-Dade County were distressed, including REOs (bank-owned properties) and short sales, compared to 56 percent in August 2011 and 47 percent the previous month.  Nationally, distressed sales accounted for 22 percent of August sales.

Cash Sales Reflect Strong International Presence 
In Miami-Dade County, 64 percent of total closed sales in August were all-cash sales, compared to 62 percent in August 2011 and 64 percent the previous month.  Cash sales accounted for 45 percent of single-family and 78 percent of condominium closings.  Nearly 90 percent of foreign buyers in Florida purchase properties all cash.  Reflecting the stronger presence of 
international buyers in the Miami real estate market, all-cash sales nationally were unchanged from the previous month at 27 percent of transactions in August; they were 29 percent in August 2011. 

Note:  Statistics in this news release may vary depending on reporting dates. Statistics reported by MIAMI are not impacted by NAR’s rebenchmarking efforts.  MIAMI reports exact statistics directly from its MLS system.